MRCI Online
|
| ScenarioSM Study for June Australian Dollar(CME) as of Jan 01, 2018 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
| Tested Month | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May |
| Tested Years | 19 | 19 | 20 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | |
| Closed Higher | 8 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 22 | 17 | 21 | 11 | |
| Exceeded High | 7 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 14 | 17 | 9 | |
| Scenario Percentage | 88% | 83% | 82% | 72% | 86% | 69% | 75% | 86% | 82% | 81% | 82% | |
| Avg Max Increase | 3.66% | 5.94% | 5.39% | 3.94% | 3.29% | 3.22% | 3.70% | 5.20% | 5.11% | 4.11% | 1.74% | |
| Max Increase | 8.04% | 10.62% | 9.22% | 7.04% | 8.54% | 7.74% | 6.06% | 15.17% | 15.68% | 13.56% | 3.48% | |
| Avg Days To Max Increase | 20 | 22 | 16 | 19 | 14 | 18 | 15 | 21 | 18 | 9 | 6 | |
| Avg Max Decline | -2.54% | -1.58% | -0.75% | -0.66% | -0.89% | -1.50% | -0.45% | -1.54% | -0.91% | -0.73% | -0.35% | |
| Max Decline | -8.29% | -2.11% | -1.95% | -1.60% | -4.15% | -3.97% | -1.12% | -5.42% | -2.35% | -1.99% | -1.19% | |
| Avg Days to Max Decline | 22 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 2 | |
| 2017 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
| Action | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
| Copyright © 1989- Moore Research Center, Inc. All Rights Reserved. |
|---|
Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.
