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ScenarioSM Study for July Silver(CMX) as of Jan 01, 2014 | ||||||||||||
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Condition 1:
Higher Monthly Close. Action ---> Buy that month's close with objective of exceeding month's high within 2 months. | ||||||||||||
Tested Month | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun |
Tested Years | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | |
Closed Higher | 21 | 27 | 20 | 20 | 24 | 27 | 22 | 19 | 15 | 23 | 15 | |
Exceeded High | 13 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 22 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 16 | 10 | |
Scenario Percentage | 62% | 67% | 75% | 80% | 92% | 74% | 64% | 63% | 87% | 70% | 67% | |
Avg Max Increase | 21.27% | 12.63% | 14.75% | 21.65% | 19.21% | 16.05% | 11.04% | 15.91% | 9.22% | 9.77% | 10.31% | |
Max Increase | 68.96% | 33.89% | 67.69% | 113.82% | 93.28% | 56.94% | 47.41% | 57.27% | 15.57% | 27.24% | 20.69% | |
Avg Days To Max Increase | 17 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 17 | |
Avg Max Decline | -1.26% | -2.98% | -2.77% | -1.15% | -2.85% | -2.31% | -1.75% | -1.62% | -2.90% | -2.53% | -1.22% | |
Max Decline | -9.66% | -10.44% | -10.22% | -9.41% | -14.79% | -7.94% | -5.56% | -5.49% | -9.23% | -10.00% | -4.85% | |
Avg Days to Max Decline | 4 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 3 | |
2013 Contract Condition | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||||||||
Action | Yes | No | No | No |
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Action ---> Sell that month's close with objective of penetrating month's low within 2 months.